IdaGriz01
Well-known member
With seven losses among the top-25 teams, it seems like there’d be some drastic changes in the next poll. But the possibilities are muted because of the two head-to-head games among top-10 teams and fact that Eastern Kentucky took Kentucky into overtime before losing. So my guesses have only three teams really moving a lot.
Guess, Team (Record), [Current Rank]
1 Jacksonville St (4-1) [1]
2 Coastal Carolina (5-0) [2]
3 NDSU (3-1) [3]
4 Illinois State (3-1) [4]
5 James Madison (5-0) [6]
6 Chattanooga (3-1) [8]
7 EWU (2-2) [9]
8 SDSU (3-1) [5]
9 Youngstown St (3-1) [10]
10 SHSU (2-2) [12]
11 Northern Iowa (2-2) [7]
12 Montana (3-2) [13]
13 Villanova (2-2) [14]
14 Fordham (4-1) [15]
15 Liberty (3-2) [18]
16 Montana State (2-2) [11]
17 E Kentucky (2-2) [17]
18 Richmond (3-1) [19]
19 New Hampshire (3-2) [20]
20 Indiana State (3-1) [21]
21 SE Louisiana (3-1) [22]
22 Portland State (3-1) [16]
23 McNeese State (4-0) [23]
24 Harvard (3-0) [24]
25 North Dakota (4-1) [145] [NR]
NR William & Mary (2-2) [25]
I only moved SDSU down three spots because of their loss to NDSU, but the pollsters may not be so kind. I could easily see the bunnies drop a couple more. Same with Northern Iowa, which I dropped down four spots ... but I like where they ended up, with their 2-2 record. Those changes allowed several teams to move up a spot or two.
My usual formula dropped the kitties five spots -- because they lost to an unranked team (which received just 40 points in the previous poll). That allowed some more teams, including the Griz, to move up a spot.
Libery’s win over Georgia State might not help a lot since G-State is a really bad FBS team. (The only game they’ve won this year was against New Mexico State -- which is 0-4 -- and they had only 2 wins in the past three full seasons.) Still, that win and the MSU loss made room to move the Flames up three spots.
I hammered Portland State down a bit more, even though they lost by only 2 points to a pretty good UND team. That’s because: (1) they lost at home, and (2) their record, with a win against Washington State, is starting to look not so impressive.
Although W&M lost on the road only by a last-second FG, the #25 team is always on thin ice. So I think they will drop out of the top-25. To replace them, I looked at the top four teams that received votes last week, but did not quite make it. Of those four, two lost -- Lamar and Southern Illinois. Cal Poly (2-3) and North Dakota (4-1) both won. Since UND has the better record and beat a ranked team, they get the nod for the 25th spot.
Guess, Team (Record), [Current Rank]
1 Jacksonville St (4-1) [1]
2 Coastal Carolina (5-0) [2]
3 NDSU (3-1) [3]
4 Illinois State (3-1) [4]
5 James Madison (5-0) [6]
6 Chattanooga (3-1) [8]
7 EWU (2-2) [9]
8 SDSU (3-1) [5]
9 Youngstown St (3-1) [10]
10 SHSU (2-2) [12]
11 Northern Iowa (2-2) [7]
12 Montana (3-2) [13]
13 Villanova (2-2) [14]
14 Fordham (4-1) [15]
15 Liberty (3-2) [18]
16 Montana State (2-2) [11]
17 E Kentucky (2-2) [17]
18 Richmond (3-1) [19]
19 New Hampshire (3-2) [20]
20 Indiana State (3-1) [21]
21 SE Louisiana (3-1) [22]
22 Portland State (3-1) [16]
23 McNeese State (4-0) [23]
24 Harvard (3-0) [24]
25 North Dakota (4-1) [145] [NR]
NR William & Mary (2-2) [25]
I only moved SDSU down three spots because of their loss to NDSU, but the pollsters may not be so kind. I could easily see the bunnies drop a couple more. Same with Northern Iowa, which I dropped down four spots ... but I like where they ended up, with their 2-2 record. Those changes allowed several teams to move up a spot or two.
My usual formula dropped the kitties five spots -- because they lost to an unranked team (which received just 40 points in the previous poll). That allowed some more teams, including the Griz, to move up a spot.
Libery’s win over Georgia State might not help a lot since G-State is a really bad FBS team. (The only game they’ve won this year was against New Mexico State -- which is 0-4 -- and they had only 2 wins in the past three full seasons.) Still, that win and the MSU loss made room to move the Flames up three spots.
I hammered Portland State down a bit more, even though they lost by only 2 points to a pretty good UND team. That’s because: (1) they lost at home, and (2) their record, with a win against Washington State, is starting to look not so impressive.
Although W&M lost on the road only by a last-second FG, the #25 team is always on thin ice. So I think they will drop out of the top-25. To replace them, I looked at the top four teams that received votes last week, but did not quite make it. Of those four, two lost -- Lamar and Southern Illinois. Cal Poly (2-3) and North Dakota (4-1) both won. Since UND has the better record and beat a ranked team, they get the nod for the 25th spot.
