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How FCS Playoff Selection works and guidelines

Brother Bear

Well-known member
This is taken from ursus arctos horribilis on the AGS board and deserves its own thread here since it is that time of year. Thanks for putting this together Ursus. Good read for people to understand how it works. :thumb:

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There is so much misunderstanding out there of how the process works that I wanted to take a stab at trying to clear some of the basic things up and post the rules and process.

The Selection Committee is often confused with the the NCAA, they are a rotating subgroup (limited term) that follows guidelines set forth by the NCAA to administer the FCS playoffs.

We got that? Selection Committee did not make the rules, they are given these rules to follow in setting the field for the playoffs.
--Ursus Arctos Horribilis

----------------------------------- Guidelines to be followed by the Selection Committee

Section 2•3 Selection Criteria

At-large teams shall be selected by the NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee, assisted by four regional advisory committees that serve in an advisory capacity only.

The following principles shall apply when selecting at-large teams:
1. The committee shall select the best teams available on a national at-large basis to complete the bracket. Per NCAA Bylaw 31, the basic criteria used in the selection of at-large participants are
(1) won-lost record,
(2) strength of schedule, and
(3) eligibility and availability of student-athletes for the NCAA championship;

2. There is no limit to the number of teams the committee may select from one conference;

3. The won-lost record of a team will be scrutinized to determine a team’s strength of schedule; however, fewer than six Division I wins may place a team in jeopardy of not being selected;

4. The committee may give more consideration to those teams that have played all Division I opponents;

5. If a committee member’s institution is under consideration, that committee member will not be allowed in the room during discussions involving his/her team and may not vote for his/her team during the voting process. Similarly, a committee member from a conference office may not be present during discussions, nor vote for any team from his/her conference.

BRACKET PAIRINGS

All pairings will be made by the NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee. The following principles are applied when pairing teams:

1. The teams awarded the top eight seeds shall receive a bye in the first round and are placed in the appropriate positions in the bracket (Nos. 1, 8, 4 and 5 in the upper half; and Nos. 2, 7, 3 and 6 in the lower half);

2. The remaining 16 teams will play first-round games and will be paired according to geographic proximity and then placed in the bracket according to geographic proximity of the top eight seeds previously placed in the bracket;

3. The NCAA mileage threshold for mandatory team travel via ground is 400 miles;

4. If a conference has four or more teams in the championship, the committee may allow an additional flight in the first or second round in order to avoid a conference having all of its teams on the same side of the bracket.

5. Regular-season non-conference match-ups in the first round of the championship should be avoided, provided it does not create an additional flight(s).

6. Teams from the same conference will not be paired for first-round games (except for teams from the same conference that did not play against each other during the regular season; such teams may play each other in the first round);

7. Once the first-round pairings have been determined, there will be no adjustments to the bracket (e.g., a seeded team may play a conference opponent that advanced out of the first round).


Additional Related Information.


----------------------------------- SIMPLE RATING SYSTEM (NCAA SRS)

The NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee will use the NCAA Simple Rating System (NCAA SRS) as a tool for evaluating teams for selection into the 24-team championship.
The NCAA SRS is a ranking system used to gauge team quality. Within the NCAA SRS, the rating of a team will be calculated largely by two components: a strength-of-schedule measure (SOS) and a win-loss differential (WL).

A team’s SOS measure is simply the average NCAA SRS rating of that team’s opponents for the season.

A team’s WL measure factors whether a game was won or lost; the location of the game (home/away/neutral site); and the NCAA (sub)division of the opponent.

1. In a game between two FCS teams played at a neutral site, the winning team gets one point and the losing team loses one point.

2. In a game between two FCS teams played at a non-neutral site, a home win counts 0.75 for the home team and -0.75 for the losing team. A road team win counts 1.25 for the visiting team and -1.25 for the home team. In other words, there is a bonus/penalty of +/- 0.25 for the home/away teams depending on the outcome.

3. An additional bonus/penalty of +/- 0.1 is added/deducted for games that FCS teams play against FBS/non-Division I opponents. For instance, a home FCS win against a Division II opponent counts only as +0.65 points (0.75 for a home win - 0.1 penalty for playing a Division II opponent). In addition, a road FCS win against an FBS opponent counts +1.35 points for the FCS team (1.25 points for a road win + 0.1 bonus for beating an FBS opponent).

4. The WL measure is then doubled to equalize the contributions of the WL factor and SOS factor toward a team’s NCAA SRS rating.

5. Margin of victory will be factored into a team’s NCAA SRS rating. This component is capped at 21 points.

The teams’ ratings are independent in that one team’s rating depends on its opponents’ ratings, which depend on their opponents’ ratings, etc., based on the “network” of college football games played each week during the football season. The NCAA SRS will also standardize the data in order to equalize the variance in total number of games played (i.e., 11 or 12 regular-season games).

Games against Division III or non-NCAA opponents are not factored into any team’s NCAA SRS rating.

The time of the season in which a game is played (early-season versus late-season games) is also not factored into a team’s NCAA SRS rating.

The NCAA SRS will not “force select” any teams into the championship; rather, it is one of several resources that the Division I Football Championship Committee will have at its disposal when debating the merits of teams under consideration for championship selection.
The NCAA Division I Football Championship Committee will begin reviewing NCAA SRS data during the later portion of the football season as it prepares for championship selections. At that time, NCAA SRS rankings may also be posted on the NCAA website (www.ncaa.com/fcs).
 
3. The won-lost record of a team will be scrutinized to determine a team’s strength of schedule; however, fewer than six Division I wins may place a team in jeopardy of not being selected;

It may say 6, but in a 12 game season, I don't see only 6 Division 1 wins getting a team in.
 
grizindabox said:
3. The won-lost record of a team will be scrutinized to determine a team’s strength of schedule; however, fewer than six Division I wins may place a team in jeopardy of not being selected;

It may say 6, but in a 12 game season, I don't see only 6 Division 1 wins getting a team in.

And you'd have to think even 7 would be borderline for many.

Which is why my Cats really need to handle business Saturday.
 
Interesting. Thanks for posting. It seems to say that proximity is paramount for matchups, which is obvious for cost considerations I guess but kinda sucks since all we have “proximal” are other BSC teams and MVC teams. Part of the playoff fun was meeting folks from distant places with funny accents, repping obscure conferences, and beating their assess. Now we can bank on the Griz playing another BSC or MVC team in the second round.
 
ilovethecats said:
Ursa Major said:
grizindabox said:
HLNGriz said:
Could be a Weber St. vs MSU in the first round? Interesting.

Only if you believe that Weber won't be a top 8 seed.

...and that msu makes the playoffs.
:bad:

giphy.gif
 
ilovethecats said:
Ursa Major said:
grizindabox said:
HLNGriz said:
Could be a Weber St. vs MSU in the first round? Interesting.

Only if you believe that Weber won't be a top 8 seed.

...and that msu makes the playoffs.
:bad:
Your website still shows Cats at 7-2? Are these posted by the same guys who engineer your campus roofing? Maybe there isn't as much math in engineering as I was lead to believe.
 
SaskGriz said:
ilovethecats said:
Ursa Major said:
grizindabox said:
Only if you believe that Weber won't be a top 8 seed.

...and that msu makes the playoffs.
:bad:
Your website still shows Cats at 7-2? Are these posted by the same guys who engineer your campus roofing? Maybe there isn't as much math in engineering as I was lead to believe.

Not sure. Maybe call and ask?
 
I do believe that Weebs gets a 5-8 seed and MSU is a bubble team that makes it in. Committee would put them together because of geography.
 
SaskGriz said:
ilovethecats said:
Ursa Major said:
grizindabox said:
Only if you believe that Weber won't be a top 8 seed.

...and that msu makes the playoffs.
:bad:
Your website still shows Cats at 7-2? Are these posted by the same guys who engineer your campus roofing? Maybe there isn't as much math in engineering as I was lead to believe.

UND didn't really beat the cats; they beat themselves. That's why they're still whining about UM being ahead of Sac in the polls, but not the cats ahead of UND.
 
ilovethecats said:
Ursa Major said:
grizindabox said:
HLNGriz said:
Could be a Weber St. vs MSU in the first round? Interesting.

Only if you believe that Weber won't be a top 8 seed.

...and that msu makes the playoffs.
:bad:

Which scenario would be worse for Choach's career at msu?

1) Lose to the Griz and not make the playoffs?

2) Lose to the Griz, make the playoffs, and then lose again to the Griz in the playoffs?
 
Ursa Major said:
ilovethecats said:
Ursa Major said:
grizindabox said:
Only if you believe that Weber won't be a top 8 seed.

...and that msu makes the playoffs.
:bad:

Which scenario would be worse for Choach's career at msu?

1) Lose to the Griz and not make the playoffs?

2) Lose to the Griz, make the playoffs, and then lose again to the Griz in the playoffs?
3) Accepting the job
 
HLNGriz said:
I do believe that Weebs gets a 5-8 seed and MSU is a bubble team that makes it in. Committee would put them together because of geography.

That would mean they could not be first round opponents as seeded teams do not play in the first round.
 
Thanks for posting.

If it starts with Win/Loss followed by Strength of Schedule, then the Fargo Heated Hillbillies wouldn't be a guaranteed top seed. They will be, assuming they beat their final 2 opponents, outside the top 25. If the Win/Loss criteria is 95 percent of the vote, and Strength of Schedule is 5 percent, The Fargoes get the nod.

The Top 25, in order of Strength of Schedule...


1) Sac St. 124
2) Weber 136
3) Montana 141
4) N. Iowa 143
5) Cent. Ark. 149
6) Illinois St. 152
7) Towson 154
8) SE Missou St. 156
9) JMU 157
10) Fargoes 158
11) SD St. 162
12) Villanova 169
13) Kitties 172
14) Nicholls 182
15) SE Louisiana 193
16) Furman 199
17) Austin Peay 203
18) Dartmouth 208
19) Wofford 212
20) Monmouth 214
21) KENNESAW 224
22) NC A&T 225
23) Florida A&M 232
24) Princeton 233
25) Central CT 244
 
grizindabox said:
HLNGriz said:
I do believe that Weebs gets a 5-8 seed and MSU is a bubble team that makes it in. Committee would put them together because of geography.

That would mean they could not be first round opponents as seeded teams do not play in the first round.

Yes, I wasn't thinking that thru.
 
Cuervohola said:
Thanks for posting.

If it starts with Win/Loss followed by Strength of Schedule, then the Fargo Heated Hillbillies wouldn't be a guaranteed top seed. They will be, assuming they beat their final 2 opponents, outside the top 25. If the Win/Loss criteria is 95 percent of the vote, and Strength of Schedule is 5 percent, The Fargoes get the nod.

The Top 25, in order of Strength of Schedule...


1) Sac St. 124
2) Weber 136
3) Montana 141
4) N. Iowa 143
5) Cent. Ark. 149
6) Illinois St. 152
7) Towson 154
8) SE Missou St. 156
9) JMU 157
10) Fargoes 158
11) SD St. 162
12) Villanova 169
13) Kitties 172
14) Nicholls 182
15) SE Louisiana 193
16) Furman 199
17) Austin Peay 203
18) Dartmouth 208
19) Wofford 212
20) Monmouth 214
21) KENNESAW 224
22) NC A&T 225
23) Florida A&M 232
24) Princeton 233
25) Central CT 244


I think you are making assumptions. I read that as a list of what they consider, but see nothing that states in what order they must be considered or how each is weighted.
 
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