CDAGRIZ said:
IdaGriz01 said:
... here's a thought: My gut tells me that the NIL money (however it's implemented) could/should actually reduce the transfer revolving door ... at least for top players who tap into mostly local revenue streams. If a guy/gal works out a sweet deal with, say, a string of local/regional car dealerships, he/she will be less likely to leave that on the table by moving.
It won't matter as much for athletes (whatever sport or sex) who land national deals for themselves (say ... Nike). Of course, individual deals with big national/international brands that already have team deals could become a major point of contention.
I can see your point to an extent, but I have trouble thinking NIL rules will come into play with FCS (or UM level) athletes regarding transfer freedom rules.
I mean, if an FCS QB is making some side change from Wilkins Hyundai and Subaru ads, but USC wants him, I don’t think the car dealership revenue is gonna factor into his decision. Much more lucrative long term to make that switch and raise his profile regardless of whether Fletcher-Jones gives him ad reads. I agree, however, it might make a difference on the extreme fringes.
You make a good point, and your hypothetical example is surely correct. The chance to play at a high-profile FBS program vs
any FCS would likely be a no-brainer. If you’re an FCS player good enough (and visible enough) to earn NIL dough, you’re probably getting plenty of playing time. So why would you transfer to another FCS school?
That suggests that the real impact will involve possible transfers from Group-of-5 to Power-5 programs. (Discussed in the “Money Game” thread.) There, you go from essentially no chance to play for a “national championship,” to at least an outside chance. And -- maybe -- you could go to a more prestigious bowl game. Not especially big incentives, IMO, but perhaps for the players. Then, I think, that “side change” could factor in.
That did trigger another notion that could go the other way at ALL levels. Naturally, it kinda goes along with the normal “rich get richer” theme. I do not want to pick any hypothetical examples … this notion also involves the “tampering” theme, and it would not be fair to suggest anything specific. We assume that the transfer would be between teams in two different Power-5 conferences, or two different Group-of-5, or even two different FSC.
Suppose you’re a big star at Pound-Sand U. in Podunk, Nowhere. Along comes a semi-promise (through former HS teammate or coach, personal trainer, etc.) that you’d sure be welcome at Slick U. in Big Metro, Wow. Your chances for lucrative outside NIL income just went through the roof. What would you do? So, along with playing time and the team "prestige," the potential for NIL income becomes part of the process to lure a player away from another program.
Which begs another related question: Who’s going to arrange these NIL deals? The NCAA (and probably the schools) would surely breath fire and flame over the idea that the players could have a personal agent. That’s way too much of a “slippery slope.” I, personally, think the NCAA and the schools will insist that all such dealing must go through the school … the Compliance Officer, perhaps. Big, big can of worms.
