Ugh... wandering into this argument here since it's a typical hand grenade that Alpha tosses, however... There's more that a little bit to support his argument. The main factor is... the unknown.
We've seen this before in 2003, 2006, 2008, 2010, and a little bit in 2013. We had a lot of long-time starters and contributors leave in key positions leaving a lot of unknown players to take the helm. Add in a new system on offense, new coaches, new S&T program... I can see it.
Go down the line:
QB: We have 6 guys who I think only one has actually started a college game and many who haven't completed a pass in a game at the college level yet.
RB: Our main producing running backs from the last 3 years are gone and now we're looking at a stable of all new guys.
WR: A solid group but a changing system has some question marks and if we can't find a QB to get them the ball... who knows how productive they'll actually be.
TE: Kind of sort of doesn't exist anymore?
OL: Mixed bag, obviously having Schmaing and Weyer back is key. Hopefully Dietrich & Reese keep improving and we see Tood, Luke, and a few others rise to the occasion.
DL: Biggest drop-off due to graduation. Not to say that Kidder, Peevey, and Crittenden (the guys I presume will replace Takai, Rehm, and Wags) won't be great... or even better. But at this point you can't just say those three are "more talented" than the guys they're replacing
LB: Good talent here, can't say it's a bad group at all. Very deep and experienced.
CB: I think our corners get a rough go of it because we now expect every corner to be the next Trumaine Johnson and when they aren't... we tear them to shreds. No corner is mistake free and no one gets singled out more than our corners and safeties do when being criticized on here. Harris is a good corner that I'd put on a Houston Roots or Tuff Harris type of level. Beyond that we've got JR Nelson who played a bunch and then some red shirted freshman and sophomores who have little experience playing. The talent here could be good... it could be bad.
S: Same as corners. Whitted is a freak athlete and one of our better safeties when healthy. The loss of an "old pro" in Hermey with his experience will be felt. Dallaserra brings experience, beyond that a lot of youth with little to no playing time. Tough to measure talent here without seeing how these guys have improved.\
K/P: Kicker returns all of last years guys plus a walk-on... who knows, hopefully the new coaches get our kickers some experienced coaching and assistance (Delaney's crew as I'm told did not have any coach that could help the kickers). Punters... honestly I wonder if Lider will push Shaw. Lider has a quicker motion and towering punts, can also handle kickoffs. Shaw we'll have to see and I wonder if he's even 100% yet after missing most of the season. Time will tell, Shaw certainly is the strongest punter when healthy.
So when you go down the line and base the argument of experience and known production you've got pretty much just 2 positions that seem to stand out with talent that's on-par or above the usual average we see at Montana, that's the LBs and WRs. After that, it's a bunch of unknowns. We'll have to see.
We've seen this before in 2003, 2006, 2008, 2010, and a little bit in 2013. We had a lot of long-time starters and contributors leave in key positions leaving a lot of unknown players to take the helm. Add in a new system on offense, new coaches, new S&T program... I can see it.
Go down the line:
QB: We have 6 guys who I think only one has actually started a college game and many who haven't completed a pass in a game at the college level yet.
RB: Our main producing running backs from the last 3 years are gone and now we're looking at a stable of all new guys.
WR: A solid group but a changing system has some question marks and if we can't find a QB to get them the ball... who knows how productive they'll actually be.
TE: Kind of sort of doesn't exist anymore?
OL: Mixed bag, obviously having Schmaing and Weyer back is key. Hopefully Dietrich & Reese keep improving and we see Tood, Luke, and a few others rise to the occasion.
DL: Biggest drop-off due to graduation. Not to say that Kidder, Peevey, and Crittenden (the guys I presume will replace Takai, Rehm, and Wags) won't be great... or even better. But at this point you can't just say those three are "more talented" than the guys they're replacing
LB: Good talent here, can't say it's a bad group at all. Very deep and experienced.
CB: I think our corners get a rough go of it because we now expect every corner to be the next Trumaine Johnson and when they aren't... we tear them to shreds. No corner is mistake free and no one gets singled out more than our corners and safeties do when being criticized on here. Harris is a good corner that I'd put on a Houston Roots or Tuff Harris type of level. Beyond that we've got JR Nelson who played a bunch and then some red shirted freshman and sophomores who have little experience playing. The talent here could be good... it could be bad.
S: Same as corners. Whitted is a freak athlete and one of our better safeties when healthy. The loss of an "old pro" in Hermey with his experience will be felt. Dallaserra brings experience, beyond that a lot of youth with little to no playing time. Tough to measure talent here without seeing how these guys have improved.\
K/P: Kicker returns all of last years guys plus a walk-on... who knows, hopefully the new coaches get our kickers some experienced coaching and assistance (Delaney's crew as I'm told did not have any coach that could help the kickers). Punters... honestly I wonder if Lider will push Shaw. Lider has a quicker motion and towering punts, can also handle kickoffs. Shaw we'll have to see and I wonder if he's even 100% yet after missing most of the season. Time will tell, Shaw certainly is the strongest punter when healthy.
So when you go down the line and base the argument of experience and known production you've got pretty much just 2 positions that seem to stand out with talent that's on-par or above the usual average we see at Montana, that's the LBs and WRs. After that, it's a bunch of unknowns. We'll have to see.