A few things:
1. I don't understand the MSU picks. It's likely they start 0-4 and 0-2 in conference. All tough games are on the road except for Montana.
2. NAU's offense returns 8 guys and they only play two tough games on the road (at Montana, and at Cal Poly -- though I'm not sure how good Cal Poly actually will be)
3. Though I'm not sure how good Cal Poly is, that is the easiest schedule a Big Sky team could play. No EWU, UM, MSU or UND. They just have to be a mediocre team and adjust well enough under new coordinators to finish int he top 3.
4. I'm the worst predictor of all time