PlayerRep said:
Robsnotes4u said:
PlayerRep said:
My issue with you is that you just won't listen. All you are doing is saying the same thing over and over again. A computer ranking or two of SOS has UM at 7th or 8th in the conference last year. However, that does not mean that UM had an easy or soft schedule. UM didn't.That was the discussion/argument. It was not which team(s) have the higher computer SOS.
Conference play in good conferences is always tough. The differences in SOS is primarily that UM seldom plays FBS teams, and most other Big Sky teams play 1 or 2 FBS teams. Take away those FBS games, and UM's SOS is essentially the same, or even better in some years, than most of the rest of the conference. Yes, I agree that a credible or better or stronger team than some of non-conference games is a tougher game. However, to me, conference teams having played an FBS team or two, and usually having lost those games (not always), is not any big deal.
You are confusing computer-generated SOS with the facts. The fact is that a computer-generated SOS, which places emphasis on FBS games, is not the best indicator of how a Big Sky team has performed in conference play and against other non-conference FCS teams. Computer-generated rankings are only have some use anyway, but one that emphasizes FBS play is not a good tool for the discussion that I thought we were trying to have.
I still find it odd that you are hanging around another team's message board so much. Anyway, I have been asked by multiple people to police you now, so I will be keeping an eye out for your posts.
Are you serious, do you not understand SOS? The numbers do not lie. There is nothing that is more factual than the data. We hear it all the time in the pool world, a person says I play like a 500. The response is you have 2000 games in the system, it is accurate and you are 450, which doesn't mean you didn't play like a 500 today. So maybe your rating, because of your playing today, has raised to a 452. 5 games being played at a 500 do not compare to 2000 at a 450.
Evidently you do not have a clue on how Sagarin works, that is ok. Computer generated SOS puts no more emphasis on any game over another game. All it know is the ratings and data. your perception is that, when in reality to FBS teams overall will have better SOS, common sense.
Yes it is a great indicator, because the more data you have the accurate. If you took out the titles of FBS and FCS, leaving just Division 1 could you compare then? Does Sagarin not compare conferences to other conferences? Does he not compare teams in the same conferences to each other? Are you saying the computer doesn't not take all games into account to find an SOS?
What if a BSC team plays a FBS team, and loses. If that FBS team plays another FBS team whether it wins or loses effects every team in the BSC. Even though the BSC team lost their (and every BSC team) SOS my rise depending on the outcome of future games of that FBS, especially if you use one of Sagarin's ratings that include point differential. If their SOS rises or falls, so will yours when the algorithm pulls the data to see. You do not have to DIRECTLY play someone to have it effect you.
I The reason you do not like SOS, and Sagarin because it doesn't agree with your perception. The human factor is gone, for the most part (the data used is based on the human who built it)
Like I have been saying, you just won't listen. The discussion started from this comment: UM had "very soft schedule last year". I, and others don't agree. I've explained some of my reasons multiple times. I don't think you've addressed them even once.
All you want to do is provide stats on computer-generated SOS. There are pro's and con's to a computer-generated SOS. It is what it is. However, the computered-generated SOS's are skewed and flawed. In particular, they weight FBS games very high. I am happy to stipulate that EWU had a strong computer-generated SOS based primarily on playing one or more FBS teams. However, to me, that is largely irrelvant. What is relevant is games against FCS teams. Because EWU and UM are in the same conference, they play alot of the same teams.
Computer-generated ratings are based on the data selected and the weighting each piece of data is given. It is what it is, but the result is not factual. Change the selection of data and the weighting of it, and the results change--potentially even dramatically. I can see that you are in love with computer-generated ratings, but there is alot more to analyzing football and schedules than looking at Massey or Sagarin.
So, feel free to continue your love affair with computer-generated ratings, but I will continue to discuss and emphasize the multiple other important factors in assessing football and footbal teams. And you can continue to play fantasy football and think that makes you knowledgeable about the game of football. Are you a big player of video games too?
If you understand SOS and Sagrin it has been addressed in every post.
Don't play video games. I understand how and why the system works, because I am effected with it in my pool ratings,
What is relevant is every game between every team. Do FCS teams play more games agains FCS than FBS? Yes. Therefore the FCS games have more relevance than the FBS games. Simple.
Take the BSC, if you do not play anyone else just BSC teams you will all have ratings based on each other (use a scale of 700 for the best and 100 a terrible team) You will all fit in this scale somewhere that is your rating (Massey easily does it from FBS, FCS, to BSC) Your perception because your top team will be at the upper part of the scale is WOW they are great.
Now the MVFC does the same thing without playing out of conference and they have ratings in the same range.
MSU a 500 on the scale decides to play SDSU which is a 400. How does the 400 in MVFC compare to the 500 in the BSC? They play and the SDSU wins. What happens. They go up in rating some, not to 500 being it is one game, and MSU goes down. Not only that every team in both conferences adjust. After a few games both conferences adjust and are on the same scale.
Your SOS went up because you included a games from a tougher conference (a 400 was better than your 500) but your ratings adjusted because you arent as good as you perceived.
Now walk me through your schedule and tell me how why you think every team is a tough schedule, because to a UNC team everyone they play is tough, and they way you talk and most people talk here UND is a cupcake. JUSTIFY your position.
You need computer models. You are such a rose-colored glasses Griz, every once in awhile you need to step back take your emotions out of it and look at Sagarin or Massey. Then ask yourself what do these two, Massey ( who uses many to make their composite) and Sagarin ( who uses 3) come about the same, and I am different? What am I missing? That is what I do.
By the way, I don't play fantasy football either, but i do watch a lot of FCS football recorded and live, and go to a lot of games in a year. Best team I have watched, includes 2 or 3 games is Villanova. Good try bringing in the "knowledgeable about the game of football"
By the way who wins the conference? Is it based on wins and losses in the conference, or does it just go by PR said the Griz are the best because nobody else is knowledgeable in football? i would hate to figure a conference championship on the number of wins and losses, and not be able to rate teams using that.
Lastly if you had to bet your life on this years EWU/Montana game with points and a spread, how would you go about doing it? Would you guess? Would you use the football knowledgeable that only you seem to have? Would you maybe take a peak at Massey, Sagarin, or even the Versus app to see what they are thinking?